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3 Mar 2023

EUR Berisiko Mencatat Penurunan Signifikan Jika Inflasi Inti Turun Tahun Depan – Commerzbank

Potensi apresiasi lebih lanjut dalam EUR/USD kemungkinan akan terbatas untuk saat ini, menurut pandangan para ekonom di Commerzbank.

Ekspektasi Suku Bunga ECB Sudah Jauh

“Pasar memprakirakan suku bunga akan mencapai puncaknya di bawah 4%. Dalam pandangan kami, ekspektasi pasar saat ini sudah cukup agresif. Sebagian besar risiko kenaikan untuk inflasi yang muncul selama beberapa minggu terakhir kemungkinan akan diperhitungkan dalam prospek suku bunga, yang membatasi potensi apresiasi Euro di masa depan."

“Mengingat resistensi dovish momentum inflasi dasar yang sangat tinggi di dalam ECB dapat mencegah pengetatan kebijakan moneter yang memadai, khususnya jika inflasi inti cenderung turun selama tahun depan. Jika ada tanda-tanda yang mengindikasikan kenaikan ini, Euro akan berisiko mencatat penurunan yang signifikan.”

Mar 3, 2023

IMP Jasa S&P Global/CIPS Inggris Februari di atas harapan 53.3: Aktual (53.5)

Muller, ECB: Di Maret Mungkin Bukan Kenaikan Terakhir

Anggota Dewan Pengatur European Central Bank (ECB) Madis Muller mengatakan pada hari Jumat, "di Maret mungkin bukan kenaikan terakhir." "Suku bunga h