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7 Jul 2023

A correction in equity markets is likely to have a disproportionate impact on the USD – NBF

After rallying in the aftermath of the US debt deal in May, the greenback’s strength has proven elusive. Economists at the National Bank of Canada analyze USD outlook.

Unusually strong correlation with stock market

The recent bout of weakness has coincided with a risk-on sentiment in financial markets, led by a broad-based rally in global equity markets.

The 30-day negative correlation between daily changes in the S&P 500 and the USD broad Dollar index is nearly double its average since 2006. Under these circumstances, we believe that a correction in equity markets is likely to have a disproportionate impact on the USD.

Jul 7, 2023

It remains hard to see a sustained GBP downtrend – ING

Economists at ING analyze GBP outlook. Inflation picture should improve later this year In the UK, the Bank of England published a survey of corporate

USD/ZAR: Rand’s sharp rebound in June is not sustainable – MUFG

The Rand staged a sharp rebound in June. Economists at MUFG Bank analyze ZAR outlook. Rand to remain weak There was no clear fundamental trigger for t