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EUR/PLN looks increasingly ripe for a correction higher – Danske Bank

Economists at Danske Bank expect the EUR/PLN to move back higher over the coming months.

Return to rate cuts during Q1 2024 likely to provide further headwinds for PLN

A lot of positive news has already been priced in to the Zloty over the past months and EUR/PLN looks increasingly ripe for a correction higher. 

As we expect the global economy to be characterized by weaker growth and inflation impulses during at least H1 2024, an environment usually ill-fitting for Polish assets, we see medium-term headwinds still in place for the Zloty.

In addition to the above, the recent hawkish re-pricing of NBP looks somewhat exaggerated to us and a return to rate cuts during Q1 2024 is likely to provide further headwinds for the PLN.

Forecast: 4.40 (1M), 4.40 (3M), 4.50 (6M), 4.60 (12M)

 

EUR/JPY nears 158.00 favoured by risk appetite and a dovish BoJ

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Oil picks up steam with Red Sea tensions arising and Russian Oil loading suspended

Oil prices are jumping higher this Wednesday with several geopolitical tensions back on the table. Yemeni Houthi rebels said on Tuesday that they attacked a commercial MSC United ship in the Red Sea after issuing three warning calls.
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