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12 Jan 2024

Range-bound trading may persist despite conditions for a stronger Dollar – ING

US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data came in a bit hotter than expected. The Dollar jumped after the release. Economists at ING analyze USD outlook.

The conditions for a higher Dollar this month are surely there

Rate expectations were not moved by slightly hotter-than-expected US CPI, and support for the Dollar has mostly come through the risk-sentiment channel.

The conditions for a higher Dollar this month are surely there, but we have observed numerous indications that markets remain reluctant to make short-term USD bullish positions coexist with the longer-lasting view that US rates will take the Dollar structurally lower by year-end.

The chances of rangebound trading until we receive clearer messages by activity data and the Fed are high.

Jan 12, 2024

Greece Consumer Price Index (YoY) came in at 3.5% below forecasts (3.8%) in December

WTI soars to near $74.50 as supply concerns deepen after US airstrikes on Houthi group

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, has climbed strongly to near $74.50 as investors worry about deepening oil supply concerns due to mounting tensions for merchant vessels through Red Sea.