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19 Jan 2024

USD to soften in Q2/Q3 as Fed easing risks are renewed and the US economy slow – Scotiabank

US Dollar’s rebound develops a little more traction. However, Shaun Osborne, Chief FX Strategist at Scotiabank, expects USD to weaken from the second quarter of the year.

USD/CAD sellers can be patient for now

I still look for the USD to soften in Q2/Q3 as Fed easing risks are renewed and the US economy slows.

A broader easing in central bank policy in H2 should be supportive for risk appetite and add to USD headwinds later this year. Seasonality also turns generally USD-negative in Q2/Q3.

USD/CAD sellers can be patient for now; levels nearer 1.3500/1.3600 could be seen in the next few weeks.

Jan 19, 2024

USD/MXN moves lower to near 17.16 ahead of Mexico Retail Sales, US Consumer Sentiment

USD/MXN trims its intraday gain and continues its losing streak for the third straight session, trading near 17.16 during the European trading hours on Friday.

There is more upside for both equity and bond markets – UBS

US equities sit close to their all-time highs and 10-year US Treasuries trade with yields almost 100 basis points below their October peaks.