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19 Jan 2024

There is more upside for both equity and bond markets – UBS

US equities sit close to their all-time highs and 10-year US Treasuries trade with yields almost 100 basis points below their October peaks. Can equity and bond markets keep rising in 2024? Economists at UBS analyze market’s outlook.

Base case scenario is for a soft landing

Our base case scenario is for a soft landing. Lower interest rates, positive (albeit slowing) economic growth and growing corporate earnings should support modest further upside for equities.

We also think long-term bond yields have room to fall further, given long-term real rates are still higher than the Fed’s estimate of the real neutral rate, in our view. We favor bonds on a risk-adjusted basis.

Jan 19, 2024

USD to soften in Q2/Q3 as Fed easing risks are renewed and the US economy slow – Scotiabank

US Dollar’s rebound develops a little more traction. However, Shaun Osborne, Chief FX Strategist at Scotiabank, expects USD to weaken from the second quarter of the year.

Gold price recovers as escalating Middle East tensions improve demand for safe-haven assets

Gold price (XAU/USD) rises further on Friday’s European session as the appeal for safe-haven assets improves due to the deepening Middle East conflict.