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24 Jan 2024

There is some room for EUR/USD to tick back above 1.0900 into Thursday’s ECB announcement – ING

EUR/USD touched its weakest level in over a month near 1.0820 on Tuesday. Economists at ING analyze the pair’s outlook.

 A new PMI test

We believe the Dollar rallied a bit too far on Tuesday, and there is some room for EUR/USD to tick back above 1.0900 into Thursday’s European Central Bank announcement.

At the same time, much of today’s price action in the pair will depend on PMIs. French and German figures are published ahead of the Eurozone-wide numbers. Expectations are modestly optimistic, with the Eurozone composite PMIs seen rising from 47.6 to 48.0, led by marginal gains in both services and manufacturing.

PMIs are often assessed in comparison with other countries. In the case of the Eurozone, against the US and the UK. The consensus for UK PMIs is for a flat 52.1 (composite) reading. Barring a material surprise in the Eurozone print, the lingering divergence between contractionary (EZ) and expansionary (UK) PMIs will keep EUR/GBP pressured today.

 

Jan 24, 2024

BoC Preview: Forecasts from seven major banks, no incentive to drop threat of hikes

The Bank of Canada makes its first policy announcement of 2024 on Wednesday, January 24 at 14:45 and as we get closer to the release time, here are the expectations as forecast by the economists and researchers of seven major banks regarding the upcoming Interest Rate Decision.
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Jan 24, 2024

South Africa Consumer Price Index (MoM) registered at 0%, below expectations (0.1%) in December

South Africa Consumer Price Index (MoM) registered at 0%, below expectations (0.1%) in December
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