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EUR/USD: Set to break above 1.1200 – UOB Group

Euro (EUR) could edge above 1.1200 but is unlikely to reach 1.1225. For the longer term, boost in momentum has increased the likelihood of EUR reaching 1.1275, UOB Group FX strategists Quek Ser Leang and note.

Bulls may test 1.1200 short term

24-HOUR VIEW: “Yesterday, we indicated that EUR ‘seems to have entered a consolidation phase and is likely to trade in a range of 1.1140/1.1190.’ Our view was not wrong, even though EUR traded in a narrower range of 1.1150/1.1190, closing on a firm note at 1.1184 (+0.21%). Upward momentum has increased, albeit not much. EUR could edge above 1.1200 today but the next resistance at 1.1225 is likely out of reach. On the downside, support levels are at 1.1165 and 1.1145.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “After EUR soared last Friday, we indicated on Monday (26 Aug, spot at 1.1185) that ‘the boost in momentum has increased the likelihood of EUR reaching 1.1275.’ We will hold the same view provided that the ‘strong support’ at 1.1105 (no change in level) is not breached.”

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Eurozone M3 Money Supply (3m) increased to 2% in July from previous 1.7%
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A round of risk aversion is hitting the FX market this morning as the Chinese earnings season has failed to offer any real support to Asian equities and the impact of Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell’s speech on Friday wears off.
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