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23 Jan 2025

GBP/USD: CBI manufacturing survey soft in January – Scotiabank

The CBI’s January survey of manufacturing was generally morose, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

GBP little changed on the session

“It revealed a small improvement in still weak orders, some improvement in still weak output and a further slide in the quarterly business optimism reading that likely reflects concerns about the government’s fiscal plans and the recent market volatility associated with them. Sterling is holding little changed on the day and over the week so far, however.”

“Cable continues to grind out some gains on the USD on the charts after basing at 1.21 last week but progress is slow towards key resistance (and potential bull trigger) at 1.2415/25—retracement and trend resistance. Support is 1.2325.”

Jan 23, 2025

US: Initial Jobless Claims rose to 223K last week

US citizens filing new applications for unemployment insurance rose to 223K for the week ending January 18, as reported by the US Department of Labor (DoL) on Thursday.

ECB Preview: Confidence vs uncertainty – Deutsche Bank

ECB to continue to cut on 30 January with another 25bp reduction in the policy rate to 2.75%, and markets expect the description of the policy stance to be unchanged vs December, Deutsche Bank’s analysts report.