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24 Jan 2025

EUR: 1.050 now looking feasible – ING

President Christine Lagarde delivers remarks in Davos today after having reiterated the guidance for gradual cuts earlier this week, ING’s FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.

EUR/USD is a touch away from 1.050

“That echoed what we have heard from other ECB members – even the more hawkish ones – and next week’s expected rate cut should be accompanied by a similar message that may just leave the market unfazed.”

“EUR/USD has received another small boost from Trump’s seemingly benign comments on China tariffs. The risk premium in EUR/USD has been halved from 3% to 1.5% since 9 January. We are not convinced that the gap will be entirely closed given lingering uncertainty about Trump’s trade hostility against the EU. But that China headline overnight has likely paved the way for testing 1.0500 in the coming days.”

Jan 24, 2025

UK Preliminary Services PMI rises to 51.2 in January vs. 50.6 expected

The seasonally adjusted S&P Global/CIPS UK Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) ticked higher to 48.2 in January from 47 in December.

Trump sends oil prices lower – ING

Oil prices came under pressure yesterday after President Trump's virtual address at the World Economic Forum at Davos, where he called for lower oil prices. The president said he would ask Saudi Arabia and OPEC members to bring prices down by increasing output.