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24 Jan 2025

USD/CNH to stay below 7.30 for the time being – OCBC

USD/CNH could stay below 7.30 for now, despite Trump threatening to impose a 10% US tariff on Chinese goods comes February 1, OCBC’s FX & Credit Strategist Chang Wei Liang notes.

Trump holds back on introducing universal tariffs for now

“In his Davos speech yesterday, Trump spoke positively about his relationship with President Xi, saying that all that he was seeking is a fair trading relationship with China. This suggests that the outcome of US-China negotiations will drive any tariff decisions, following an earlier call between the two leaders to discuss trade, fentanyl, and TikTok.”

“Trump has held back on introducing universal tariffs so far, but he has also directed the US Commerce and Treasury Departments to probe economic and national security risks of large trade deficits, and recommend appropriate measures.”

Jan 24, 2025

JPY: Hawkish BoJ hike – ING

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) hiked rates by 25bp this morning, in line with market expectations and consensus.

EUR/USD soars on upbeat Eurozone preliminary PMI data

EUR/USD rallies to near the psychological resistance of 1.0500 in Friday’s European session as the Hamburg Commercial Bank (HCOB) reported that the Eurozone preliminary Composite Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) grew in January after shrinking in the last two months.