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18 Mar 2025

CAD holds break through 1.4350 – Scotiabank

Spot moved nicely lower yesterday as the US Dollar (USD) tone stayed soft, the White House stayed relatively quiet in tariffs and stocks picked up a bit more ground, giving high beta FX a broader lift. The USD is now 'only' one standard deviation above FV (1.4119 today), having spent most of last week trading near two standard deviations above equilibrium, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

Resistance is at 1.4310 and 1.4350

"Spot’s push under 1.4340/50 support leaves the USD looking prone to more technically-driven weakness. Losses are stabilizing around the 1.43 point, right where long-term trend support off the September USD low sits currently."

" A daily close under 1.43 trend targets a push to 1.4240, the early March low and potentially to the 1.41 area (50% retracement of the USD September/February rally sits at 1.4107). The USD continues to enjoy solid trend momentum on the daily and weekly studies which restrain USD losses for now, however. Resistance is 1.4310 and 1.4350."

Mar 18, 2025

USD remains soft, DXY tests recent lows – Scotiabank

The US Dollar (USD) retains a soft undertone though movement in the major currencies is limited overall as the DXY tests last week’s 103.2 low.

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Mar 18, 2025

EUR gains extend on ZEW survey jump – Scotiabank

Germany’s ZEW investor confidence survey had a serious glow up in the wake of the German government’s plans to boost infrastructure and defense spending significantly.

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