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19 Mar 2025

EUR/USD to consolidate around current levels in the near term – Danske Bank

EUR/USD consolidated above the 1.09 mark after the German Bundestag approved the large fiscal package with a 2/3 majority, Danske Bank's FX analyst Jens Nærvig Pedersen reports. 

Risks still skewed to the upside

"This was largely expected by markets and the reaction in EUR/USD was muted. The package must now also pass the Bundesrat, which is the upper chamber of the parliament, in a vote on Friday. Here the bill is also expected to pass. "

"Today, focus turns to the FOMC meeting where we do not anticipate strong market reactions. We do not expect Powell to guide explicitly towards a cut in May, but we do still anticipate three 25bp reductions later in the year starting from June. 

"We expect EUR/USD to consolidate around current levels in the near term, with risks still skewed to the upside. The key risk to further EUR/USD upside is that if upcoming data fails to validate market concerns about the US economy, the USD could rebound quickly."

Mar 19, 2025

AUD/USD: Chance for AUD to break above 0.6410 – UOB Group

Australian Dollar (AUD) is likely to consolidate between 0.6340 and 0.6385.
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Mar 19, 2025

NZD/USD: Rapid buildup in momentum continues to suggest NZD strength – UOB Group

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is likely to trade in a range between 0.5790 and 0.5840.
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