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3 Apr 2025

Fitch Ratings warns of lower growth, higher inflation, and less Fed rate cuts in 2025

The Fitch Ratings agency downgraded its expectations for US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth in 2025 on Thursday, specifically highlighting that the Trump administration's "Liberation Day" tariff announcement poses a direct risk to US economic health.

Key highlights

Liberation Day takes US tariff rates back to a level last seen in 1909.
US growth in 2025 is likely to be slower than the 1.7% that we had projected in March, given higher-than-anticipated tariffs.
Tariff hikes will result in higher consumer prices and lower corporate profits in the US.'
Upward pressure on goods prices from tariffs means the Fed is likely to become more cautious about further rate cuts in the near term.

Apr 3, 2025

Fed's Jefferson warns Fed is not in a rush to change rates

Federal Reserve (Fed) Board of Governors Vice Chair Philip Jefferson had the dubious honor of being the first high-profile Fed speaker out of the gate after the Trump administration's tariff announcements this week.

Pound Sterling Price News and Forecast:Pound Sterling outperforms US Dollar as Trump tariffs fuel US recession

The Pound Sterling (GBP) surges to near 1.3200 against the US Dollar (USD) during the North American trading hours on Thursday, the highest level seen in almost six months.