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7 Apr 2025

GBP edges slightly lower – Scotiabank

Pound Sterling (GBP) is soft, down a modest 0.2% vs. the USD and a mid-performer among the G10 currencies.

Markets price in more BoE easing risk

"UK PM Starmer’s response to trade tensions appears to be centered around domestic measures targeting regulation reforms and tax breaks for sectors impacted by the US tariffs. Rate expectations have also shifted, with markets moving to price a full 25bpt for the BoE’s May 8 meeting, adding about 5bpts over the past week or so. The loss of rate support adds to near-term downside risk for GBP."

"GBP/USD’s sharp reversal of last week’s rally delivered a break of its one-month range and a push to fresh local lows in the mid/lower-1.28s. The RSI has drifted below 50, in bearish territory, and there doesn’t appear to be any clear support ahead of the lower 1.27s."

Apr 7, 2025

EUR gains modestly in tight range – Scotiabank

Euro (EUR) is quietly consolidating within a relatively tight range around the mid-1.09s and strengthening modestly vs. the USD, outpacing all the G10 currencies apart from the havens JPY and CHF.

EU Trade Commissioner Sefcovic: Offered zero-for-zero tariffs to US for cars and all industrial goods

European Union trade commissioner Maros Sefcovic said on Monday that a range of tariffs is hitting 380 billion Euros worth of EU exports of the US. "Some 70% of our total exports are facing tariffs," he added.