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15 Apr 2025

EUR quiet on mixed ZEW data ahead of ECB Thursday – Scotiabank

Euro (EUR) is quietly consolidating within a relatively tight range around 1.1350, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

EUR/USD’s rally is showing signs of near-term exhaustion

"The ZEW business sentiment survey data was mixed, as the leading component disappointed while the current situation figures offered a modest, positive surprise."

"Thursday’s ECB remains a focus as market tensions continue to moderate, and a 25bpt cut is widely expected. The meeting will not include fresh forecasts, allowing ECB President Lagarde to maintain greater flexibility in terms of setting the outlook for rates."

"EUR/USD’s rally is showing some signs of near-term exhaustion with overbought momentum (70+ RSI). The latest range is roughly bound between support it’s the mid-1.12s and resistance in the mid-1.14s."

Apr 15, 2025

United States Export Price Index (MoM) meets expectations (0%) in March

GBP pushes to fresh highs – Scotiabank

Pound Sterling (GBP) is performing well on the day with a 0.4% gain vs. the US Dollar (USD) and outperformance against most of the G10 currencies as it pushed to fresh highs at levels last seen in October, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.