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Day dominated by continued swings in the markets - Rabobank

Michael Every, Head of Financial Markets Research at Rabobank, suggests that today is likely to be dominated by continued swings in the markets but data-wise we will see German industrial production (seen 0.5% m-o-m) and trade numbers, along with the UK trade report.

Key Quotes

“In the US we get the NFIB small business survey, which is likely to be as gruff as ever, and then we see wholesale inventories and sales, where both are expected to decline, the latter by more than the former (-0.2% and -0.4%, respectively): if so, that will push the inventory/sales ratio even higher into what is usually recessionary territory.”

Global markets sentiment goes for a toss – ANZ

Research Team at ANZ, notes that a weak session for risk on Friday (despite what was another reasonable labour market report in the US) extended overnight, with equity markets tumbling, bonds surging on safe-haven demand and – probably most worrying for a debtor nation like New Zealand – many credit market metrics deteriorating sharply.
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USD/JPY: On the verge of confirming a broad Head & Shoulder pattern – SocGen

Stéphanie Aymes, Head of Technical Analysis at Societe Generale, notes that the USD/JPY achieved last year the tipping point of 126.00 at the end of the sustained up trend from 2012 lows.
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