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10 Feb 2016

BOJ to ease further in July or even earlier - Nomura

Nomura economists expect the BOJ to ease further in July, with the possibility of an earlier easing not ruled out either.

Key Quotes

"Our economists expect the BOJ to ease in July again, but the possibility of an earlier easing cannot be ruled out, in our view."

"Q4 GDP in Japan is scheduled to be released next Monday and is expected to show negative growth and a further inflation slowdown is likely in the near term."

"Japanese policymakers’ stance on FX remains JPY negative as USD/JPY is trading around 115, which is an important level for Japanese exporters."
Feb 10, 2016

Fedwatch: Chances of another rate hike before year-end at 20%

Based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which expresses the market’s views on the likelihood of changes in U.S. monetary policy, is currently pricing the chances of a rate hike by the Fed in March at 0%, while April chances are 2%, with May at 5%, and 20% before year-end.
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Feb 10, 2016

USD/JPY downside wide open below 115.50

USD/JPY is back down testing the 115 handle with recent dips below to 114.89 so far. The markets are able to take advantage of the price so long as it remains below 115.50/00.
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