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19 May 2017

CME Group FedWatch's June hike probability settles above 70%

CME Group FedWatch tool, which calculates unconditional probabilities of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting outcomes to generate a binary probability tree, shows that the probability of a June rate hike advanced to 73.8% on Friday from 64.6% in the previous day.

Although there were no macro data releases from the U.S., which could increase the odds a rate hike, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard's comments may have helped the probability rise. Despite his dovish approach, Bullard said that he would support a June rate hike but was not in favor of more hikes in 2017 as the data were not indicating a risk of faster than desired inflation.

Fed's Bullard: Data, markets don't support aggressive Fed
Fed's Bullard: Would not object to June hike

May 19, 2017

Volatility across asset markets to become more volatile near term - Danske Bank

According to analysts from Danske Bank, volatility in markets is set to become more volatile as the cycle turns lower. They see the rise of...

US Dollar under pressure, testing 97 handle as political turmoil continues

Following yesterday's technical correction, the US Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six trade-weighted peers, is staying u