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USD/CNH Berkedip Hijau Karena PBoC Menetapkan Titik Tengah CNY Di Terlemah Sejak 15 Maret 2017

Saat ini, pasangan USD/CNH diperdagangkan di tertinggi sesi 6,9261, setelah memantul dari EMA 5-hari yang miring ke atas (bullish) sebelumnya hari ini.

Pasangan ini tampaknya telah mengambil penawaran beli sebagai tanggapan atas penetapan yang lebih lemah. PBoC menetapkan kurs referensi harian di 6,9072 - level terlemah sejak 15 Maret 2017 - dan jauh di atas perkiraan Reuters 6,9009.

Secara teknis, pasangan ini melihat ke utara, telah menembus resisten utama 6,8927 (tertinggi 18 September) pekan lalu. EMA jangka pendek (5-hari, 10-hari) condong ke utara untuk mendukung bulls. Lebih lanjut, relative strength index (RSI) 14-hari membersihkan garis tren menurun pekan lalu dan telah berubah bullish.

Ketika bias jangka pendek adalah bullish, para ahli strategi FX mengharapkan mata uang China untuk memangkas penurunan dalam 12 bulan ke depan dengan harapan bahwa risiko perang dagang AS-China meningkat dan sell-off yang mendalam di negara berkembang akan mereda, menurut jajak pendapat Reuters.

Level-Level Teknis USD/CNH

Resisten: 6,9584 (tertinggi 15 Agustus), 7,00 (rintangan psikologis)

Support: 6,8989 (EMA 10-hari), 6,8861 (EMA 200-jam)

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