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17 Mar 2020

Poland: Fiscal stimulus will be PLN negative – TDS

Either today or tomorrow, broad economic stimuli are likely to be announced by the Polish government, according to economists at TD Securities. EUR/PLN trades at 4.467.

Key quotes

“We see a high chance of coordinated action by the government and the NBP. The government has already promised a stimulus package.”

“The NBP may do its part by loosening monetary conditions. There is a high likelihood that the Bank will be easing the Base Rate by 50bps to 1.00%.”

“The EUR/PLN reaction is unpredictable. However, the market is already priced for some emergency easing, even though not a full 50bps cut. Therefore, some slight weakness is possible.”

“The fiscal package that should be announced more or less simultaneously may move the zloty a lot more than any NBP action. We suspect the initial impact of fiscal stimulus will be PLN negative.”

Mar 17, 2020

USD/CAD climbs fresh 50-month highs above 1.4100

After breaking above the 1.4000 handle during the European session on Tuesday, the USD/CAD pair extended its rally and rose to its highest level since

USD/JPY: Neutral-to-bullish in the short-term

USD/JPY is neutral-to-bullish in the short-term as critical resistance sits at 108.00. Valeria Bednarik, a Chief Analyst at FXStreet, examines the USD